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BJP hopes to retain power with YCP and BJD support?

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The Bharatiya Janata Party leadership is calculating that it will have fair chances of forming the government at the Centre even if it doesn’t get majority on its own. The party is hopeful of definite support from the Biju Janata Dal and the YCP. At the same time, the BJP leaders are not ruling out support from Telangana K Chandrasekhara Rao who is making tours of southern states for his Federal Front.

The 2019 election is being fought in a different atmosphere when compared to 2014. This time, there are no clear chances of BJP getting majority on its own. But there is clarity that the BJP-led NDA will need just 40 to 50 seats to get simple majority. This support will be secured from BJD and YCP along with some other like-minded and neutral players like TRS.

BJP’s confidence is that the Congress-led UPA will be short of more than 100 seats to form the government. In such a scenario, the UPA will not have any chance to get power even if it gets support from TDP, Trinamool Congress, BSP, SP and other parties. BJP leaders expect a clear picture on the chances of NDA and UPA once exit poll results are out after May 19.

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Modi might spring surprise as Sonia unites opposition for President

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BJP is known to spring surprises when it comes to naming its candidate in elections. The July presidential elections will probably be similar to the face-off between VV Giri and Neelam Sanjeeva Reddy in 1969. It is indisputable that a staunch supporter of Congress Pranab Mukherjee will not be given another term as a President. Unlike the US, India has no restrictions on the term of President. Except for VV Giri who was not only President but also an interim president, India never had same president for two consecutive terms.

As the country awaits surprise from BJP several names have surfaced. L K Advani, Murali Manohar Joshi, Sushma Swaraj and Sumitra Mahajan are likely in the race. Even RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat’s name appeared. Advani mentioned that he is not in the battle. With the Babri case surfacing the chances for Advani and Joshi are bleak. However, there are chances that a Dalit candidate may be named as a President.

Narendra Modi may just pick Governor of Jharkhand Draupadi Murmu a tribal candidate from Odisha as the NDA Presidential candidate.

Congress is already in consultations with its allies about the candidate they will be nominating. AICC President Sonia Gandhi will probably organise a meeting with leaders of non-NDA parties to pursue plans for tapping a common candidate. The names of Deva Gowda, Sharad Yadav and Hamid Ansari surfaced from the opposition parties.

The Presidential elections are indirect elections done through electoral college. NDA is mighty in Lok Sabha but UPA has strength in Rajya Sabha. In such situation, the support of regional parties becomes crucial. The elected members of the Legislative assemblies of the 29 states and the elected members of the legislative assemblies of the Union Territories of Puducherry and Delhi are significant as BJP doesn’t have half way mark yet. The support of AIADMK, TRS, YSRCP and BJD are imperative now. Speculations are rife that the regional parties do not want to vote for a congress candidate.

The values of votes polled by MP is 708 while it is not equal for all MLAs in the country. Based on population and number of elected legislators, the vote value of MLAs is considered. In UP the vote value of an MLA is the highest at 209 while the lowest vote value is from Sikkim at 7. The vote value of TS and AP MLAs is 148.

President Pranab Mukherjee’s term expires on July 25,2017. It would be elevating if NDA proposes a non-politician as it did in 2002 by making Dr APJ Abdul Kalam.

Telugu360 is always open for the best and bright journalists. If you are interested in full-time or freelance, email us at Krishna@telugu360.com.

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