Janasena – Communists alliance to continue or to break?

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Is Pawan Kalyan’s Janasena party going to break the alliance with Communists before local elections? Did the alliance with communists did more harm than good to Janasena? At least, is that the opinion among the think tank of Janasena? Same is going to be the case with BSP as well? The answer seems to be “Yes” as per the grapevine in political circles. Details as below.

2009 vote statistics prompted Pawan to ally with Comrades:

Chiranjeevi’s PRP won around 17% votes in the state of united AP and in more than 20 constituencies, it lost with less than 10 thousand votes, which corresponds to approximately. So, it was felt that proper alliances with other parties that have a standard vote percentage around 1-2% would have made a difference to the fate of Chiranjeevi’s PRP. They were of the opinion that Congress got just 7 seats more than the magic number (148) to form the government and had Chiranjeevi’s PRP won any 7 seats out of those 20+ seats that lost with 1% margin, AP politics would have been different by now.

2009 vote percentage statistics:

PartyVote Percentage
Indian National Congress36.60%
TDP28.10%
PRP16.70%
CPI1.31%
CPM1.35%

Allying with Communists and BSP cost Pawan huge:

Probably because of the same reasons, almost 3 years ahead of 2019 elections, Pawan Kalyan allied himself with communists. Moreover, Janasena thinks tank thought that Mayawati’s BSP that got 2.1% in 2018 Telangana assembly election also will improve Janasena prospects. However, the strategy did not work out in 2019 AP assembly elections.

PartyVote Percentage
YSRCP49.90%
TDP39.20%
Janasena6.80%
CPI0.11%
CPM0.32%
BSP0.28%

It is very clear that Pawan’s strategy miserably backfired as CPI, CPM and BSP all together got 0.71% votes. It was surprising to see the strength of communists drastically coming down compared to 2014. In 2014, CPI got 0.5% and CPM got 0.8%. Same is the case with BSP. All these three parties put together had around 2% vote bank in 2014, but they could garner only 0.71% (together) in 2019.

Another reason for Janasena core team considering the breaking up with communists is the adamant attitude displayed by CPI leadership during the seat-sharing and asking for the seats where Janasena had better candidates. Probably, because of these reasons, Janasena leaders are convinced to fight alone in upcoming election battles irrespective of results. As of now, there is no official statement on continuing or breaking up Janasena-Communists alliance. We will have to wait and see whether this alliance will continue or not

-ZURAN (@CriticZuran)

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